Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (109-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 28 | 6-12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 28 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 23 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 9 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 40 | 11-25 | 1-7 | 8-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 40 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 38 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 36 | 10-29 | 4-13 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 28 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter