🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 49.0% 51.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 38.9% 61.1% +2.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 28.7% 71.3% -
Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% -
Log Adjusted 11.0% 89.0% -
Points Off/Def 17.8% 82.2% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +20 (133-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 37 7-14 4-8 2-2 2 5 2 0 20 - -
Tristan Thompson * 32 9-14 0-0 0-2 8 3 0 0 18 - -
Collin Sexton * 31 10-16 0-1 5-6 5 4 0 0 25 - -
Kevin Love * 25 4-10 1-5 0-0 7 4 0 0 9 - -
Cedi Osman * 24 4-10 3-6 1-2 2 1 1 0 12 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 23 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 9 - -
Jordan Clarkson 22 2-7 2-5 3-3 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 22 3-6 1-4 0-0 6 3 0 1 7 - -
John Henson 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 7 5 2 0 2 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 36 6-13 3-7 5-8 4 11 0 0 20 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 13-24 5-8 2-2 4 4 0 0 33 - -
Norman Powell * 35 11-15 4-6 0-0 6 5 4 1 26 - -
OG Anunoby * 27 6-9 0-2 0-0 9 1 1 0 12 - -
Marc Gasol * 27 4-9 0-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 8 - -
Patrick McCaw 21 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Serge Ibaka 20 6-10 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 1 14 - -
Terence Davis 18 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 12 2-3 1-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Malcolm Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dewan Hernandez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter