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2019-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -14 (119-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 37 12-24 5-9 6-7 3 10 1 0 35 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 25 9-13 5-7 0-0 1 6 0 1 23 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 24 3-3 0-0 3-5 7 1 0 1 9 - -
Isaac Bonga * 19 3-5 1-1 2-2 6 1 2 0 9 - -
Rui Hachimura * 17 3-4 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Davis Bertans 35 6-11 3-6 2-3 4 3 0 1 17 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 27 4-9 2-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 10 - -
Ish Smith 21 4-9 0-1 2-2 4 7 2 2 10 - -
Admiral Schofield 19 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Garrison Mathews 10 1-2 1-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luke Kennard * 36 6-11 2-7 0-0 6 6 0 0 14 - -
Markieff Morris * 32 8-13 1-2 5-6 5 3 1 0 22 - -
Tony Snell * 26 3-8 2-7 2-2 0 3 0 0 10 - -
Bruce Brown * 26 5-10 2-4 8-8 6 3 1 2 20 - -
Thon Maker * 19 1-1 0-0 2-4 4 2 1 0 4 - -
Christian Wood 28 5-10 0-1 2-8 6 1 1 1 12 - -
Langston Galloway 28 3-10 2-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Derrick Rose 28 8-17 2-5 4-4 6 8 1 0 22 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 12 2-6 2-6 1-2 1 1 0 1 7 - -

* = starter