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2019-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 17.5% 82.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% - ✗
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 ✗ (26.9 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% - ✓
Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors -21 (79-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 33 5-11 1-5 4-4 5 3 1 0 15 - -
Buddy Hield * 33 8-11 2-5 1-1 4 4 2 0 19 - -
Cory Joseph * 31 2-7 1-2 2-2 2 5 1 0 7 - -
Richaun Holmes * 25 4-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 2 1 9 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 29 9-11 4-5 3-3 5 5 1 0 25 - -
Trevor Ariza 26 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 2 5 - -
Marvin Bagley III 22 7-13 1-2 2-3 6 2 0 0 17 - -
Yogi Ferrell 10 0-1 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 - -
Justin James 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Caleb Swanigan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damion Lee * 34 6-15 0-5 1-1 5 5 1 0 13 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 29 7-9 0-0 0-1 5 2 6 0 14 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 27 2-9 1-3 3-4 0 8 0 0 8 - -
Draymond Green * 26 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 24 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Alec Burks 22 3-8 1-3 4-6 2 3 2 0 11 - -
Jacob Evans 19 2-3 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 1 7 - -
Omari Spellman 18 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Jordan Poole 16 1-7 1-6 2-2 0 1 2 0 5 - -
Kevon Looney 11 0-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Marquese Chriss 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter