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2019-12-16

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% -
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Log Adjusted 17.0% 83.0% -
Points Off/Def 23.2% 76.8% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (111-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 8-19 1-6 3-3 9 2 1 0 20 - -
RJ Barrett * 35 3-12 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 34 8-18 3-9 3-4 5 0 1 0 22 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 23 4-6 2-4 3-3 5 4 4 0 13 - -
Taj Gibson * 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 6 - -
Elfrid Payton 25 5-13 0-3 0-0 7 11 1 0 10 - -
Mitchell Robinson 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 8 - -
Kevin Knox II 22 5-8 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Bobby Portis 14 4-6 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Damyean Dotson 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Harris * 38 5-11 2-6 3-4 3 3 1 0 15 - -
Nikola Jokic * 35 10-22 2-5 3-4 10 5 1 1 25 - -
Will Barton * 34 7-16 2-3 0-0 9 4 2 1 16 - -
Jamal Murray * 32 5-14 2-6 2-2 6 4 0 0 14 - -
Jerami Grant * 26 4-6 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 1 11 - -
Mason Plumlee 33 6-8 0-0 2-6 8 6 0 2 14 - -
Monte Morris 15 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Torrey Craig 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Michael Porter Jr. 10 4-8 0-1 1-1 8 2 0 1 9 - -

* = starter