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2019-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 32.0% 68.0% -
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.4% 33.6% -
Efficiency 90.3% 9.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Log Adjusted 85.3% 14.7% -
Points Off/Def 75.2% 24.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -5 (96-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 12-21 4-10 4-7 13 7 1 3 32 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 11-23 0-6 5-7 13 3 1 2 27 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 26 4-11 0-2 3-5 3 2 1 0 11 - -
Danny Green * 20 2-8 0-5 6-6 6 0 2 0 10 - -
JaVale McGee * 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 3 - -
Rajon Rondo 26 4-10 1-4 2-2 7 5 2 0 11 - -
Avery Bradley 23 1-6 0-2 1-2 0 1 3 0 3 - -
Dwight Howard 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 3 2 - -
Jared Dudley 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Alex Caruso 15 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 9-22 3-11 9-11 6 7 2 0 30 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 36 2-10 2-6 2-2 6 2 1 1 8 - -
Jabari Parker * 26 4-10 2-5 2-2 5 1 1 1 12 - -
Kevin Huerter * 23 2-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 5 - -
Damian Jones * 21 3-4 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 10 - -
Cam Reddish 29 3-10 1-6 3-4 5 0 1 1 10 - -
Alex Len 23 4-8 1-2 0-0 7 3 0 0 9 - -
Vince Carter 21 3-10 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 7 - -
Allen Crabbe 18 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter