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2019-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% -
Log Adjusted 20.5% 79.5% -
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +22 (107-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 37 3-18 3-14 3-6 6 4 2 2 12 - -
Miles Bridges * 34 4-12 1-6 1-1 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Cody Zeller * 29 6-11 0-1 7-10 12 2 0 1 19 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 27 5-10 0-0 1-2 17 2 0 1 11 - -
Terry Rozier * 25 1-12 0-3 1-2 2 3 1 0 3 - -
Cody Martin 27 2-4 1-1 4-6 6 1 1 1 9 - -
Malik Monk 25 5-13 0-4 4-4 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 17 0-6 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 - -
Jalen McDaniels 3 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Dwayne Bacon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Willy Hernangomez 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Caleb Martin 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 34 5-10 0-0 2-2 12 4 0 0 12 - -
T.J. Warren * 26 2-8 0-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Myles Turner * 25 6-14 2-7 0-2 10 2 0 5 14 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 25 4-11 1-5 2-2 1 7 1 0 11 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 24 3-9 1-4 2-2 6 1 3 2 9 - -
T.J. McConnell 22 6-10 0-1 0-0 1 8 0 0 12 - -
Justin Holiday 21 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 9 - -
Doug McDermott 21 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Aaron Holiday 20 6-10 2-5 9-10 6 2 0 0 23 - -
Goga Bitadze 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 - -
Edmond Sumner 3 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
TJ Leaf 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Alize Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter