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2019-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -11 (119-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 33 3-13 1-5 2-4 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Jonathan Isaac * 32 7-11 1-2 6-7 11 3 2 1 21 - -
Markelle Fultz * 29 4-6 0-0 2-4 2 7 1 1 10 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 29 8-15 2-5 2-2 9 2 1 0 20 - -
Evan Fournier * 28 6-14 3-7 1-1 1 4 1 0 16 - -
D.J. Augustin 24 4-8 2-3 7-7 1 8 1 0 17 - -
Terrence Ross 23 5-9 4-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 14 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 19 4-7 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 10 - -
Mo Bamba 18 5-6 2-3 1-1 6 1 0 0 13 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 40 12-20 4-7 1-2 4 8 1 1 29 - -
JJ Redick * 35 9-16 5-9 0-0 2 3 0 1 23 - -
Brandon Ingram * 26 9-16 3-7 0-1 6 6 1 0 21 - -
Kenrich Williams * 23 1-4 1-4 0-2 6 4 0 3 3 - -
Derrick Favors * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 2 - -
Josh Hart 30 7-15 4-11 2-2 5 1 2 0 20 - -
Jaxson Hayes 28 4-5 0-0 2-2 7 3 0 1 10 - -
Lonzo Ball 27 3-7 2-4 1-3 5 6 1 0 9 - -
Frank Jackson 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter