Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 1-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 32 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 11-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 11 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter