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2019-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 64.2% 35.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -
Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% -
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -8 (107-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luke Kennard * 34 6-13 4-7 6-6 7 3 0 1 22 - -
Tony Snell * 32 4-7 3-6 4-4 5 0 1 1 15 - -
Bruce Brown * 30 6-9 0-1 4-6 10 6 4 1 16 - -
Thon Maker * 25 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 2 4 - -
Blake Griffin * 15 0-7 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Markieff Morris 27 6-13 3-6 0-0 8 2 1 0 15 - -
Derrick Rose 26 10-21 0-4 0-0 4 12 0 0 20 - -
Christian Wood 21 4-8 0-3 3-5 12 1 0 1 11 - -
Langston Galloway 21 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 4 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Tucker * 40 1-8 1-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 - -
James Harden * 38 14-33 4-13 7-8 6 7 1 0 39 - -
Clint Capela * 35 6-13 0-0 0-1 19 1 1 3 12 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 33 4-11 1-3 0-1 7 0 1 0 9 - -
Ben McLemore * 33 4-8 1-4 4-6 0 0 3 0 13 - -
Austin Rivers 28 6-14 1-4 1-2 5 5 0 2 14 - -
Chris Clemons 16 6-12 5-11 0-0 4 0 2 2 17 - -
Gary Clark 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 - -

* = starter