Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +17 (125-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 23 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 18 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - | |
| John Henson | 14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Ante Zizic | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 25 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 23 | 12-20 | 2-5 | 3-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 22 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 21 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| George Hill | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 20 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Frank Mason | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter