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2019-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% -
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +17 (128-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 33 8-23 5-13 8-12 10 4 4 0 29 - -
Rui Hachimura * 28 4-10 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Ish Smith * 28 6-11 1-3 1-1 3 4 3 0 14 - -
Isaac Bonga * 26 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 17 1-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 30 5-8 0-1 6-7 2 5 1 0 16 - -
Davis Bertans 25 2-9 1-6 4-4 2 2 1 2 9 - -
Admiral Schofield 20 5-8 3-5 1-2 2 3 1 0 14 - -
Chris Chiozza 18 3-6 2-5 0-0 4 2 2 0 8 - -
Garrison Mathews 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Justin Robinson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 3-6 0-1 0-0 12 0 0 2 6 - -
Ja Morant * 28 5-11 1-2 7-7 4 5 3 1 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 26 10-17 2-7 5-6 2 3 3 0 27 - -
Kyle Anderson * 25 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 5 1 1 2 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 23 6-10 2-4 2-3 4 1 1 2 16 - -
Brandon Clarke 24 11-14 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 25 - -
De'Anthony Melton 22 2-4 0-0 3-4 4 4 1 0 7 - -
Tyus Jones 20 4-5 1-2 0-0 1 9 2 0 9 - -
Marko Guduric 16 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Solomon Hill 11 4-4 4-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Yuta Watanabe 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Caboclo 4 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter