Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -2 (119-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 37 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 15 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 31 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 31 | 10-23 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 21 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 40 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 37 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 37 | 10-20 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 32 | 10-19 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes | 20 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyler Johnson | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter