Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -13 (114-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 35 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 26 | 12-23 | 3-7 | 10-13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 21 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 6-17 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 33 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 29 | 14-21 | 9-15 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 43 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 19 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marko Guduric | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter