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2019-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 37 4-14 2-9 6-6 5 7 3 0 16 - -
P.J. Washington * 37 6-17 0-3 1-2 10 2 1 3 13 - -
Terry Rozier * 36 5-15 1-5 0-1 8 5 2 0 11 - -
Miles Bridges * 35 4-10 1-6 4-4 9 1 1 1 13 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 24 4-6 0-0 4-6 9 1 0 1 12 - -
Cody Zeller 23 4-8 1-3 2-2 10 2 0 0 11 - -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Cody Martin 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Malik Monk 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 35 4-19 1-8 3-3 8 2 1 0 12 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 25 2-8 0-4 3-4 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 25 4-12 2-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 23 2-6 0-1 2-2 11 2 3 0 6 - -
Kris Dunn * 23 1-6 0-0 1-2 3 3 1 1 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 26 5-13 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 21 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 12 - -
Daniel Gafford 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 6 4 - -
Coby White 20 1-8 1-5 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 - -
Denzel Valentine 17 2-8 1-3 1-1 3 2 1 0 6 - -

* = starter