Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (110-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 38 | 11-20 | 4-9 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 11-22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 25 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley | 18 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jared Dudley | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 37 | 9-20 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 36 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 27 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 23 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter