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2019-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% -
Log Adjusted 76.6% 23.4% -
Points Off/Def 65.7% 34.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -10 (100-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 32 7-16 1-3 4-6 8 12 0 0 19 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 31 6-11 0-0 0-0 14 2 1 0 12 - -
T.J. Warren * 31 8-18 1-4 1-1 4 1 2 0 18 - -
Myles Turner * 26 5-10 0-4 1-2 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 26 4-8 1-2 2-2 4 4 0 0 11 - -
Doug McDermott 28 6-7 3-3 1-1 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Justin Holiday 22 1-5 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 22 5-11 1-2 2-3 2 0 2 0 13 - -
T.J. McConnell 15 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 8 - -
TJ Leaf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 37 9-30 3-10 2-2 7 8 0 1 23 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 36 7-16 0-4 7-9 4 2 2 0 21 - -
Kevin Huerter * 30 2-7 0-2 1-2 7 3 1 0 5 - -
Jabari Parker * 27 9-13 1-3 1-2 6 1 1 0 20 - -
Damian Jones * 18 4-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 9 - -
Cam Reddish 30 1-6 1-3 1-2 5 3 1 1 4 - -
Allen Crabbe 24 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Alex Len 21 4-8 0-1 3-4 13 2 1 1 11 - -
Vince Carter 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter