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2019-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% -
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% -
Points Off/Def 53.6% 46.4% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -23 (107-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 36 19-31 10-15 6-6 5 7 2 3 54 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 34 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -
P.J. Tucker * 34 4-6 3-5 1-2 11 1 2 0 12 - -
Russell Westbrook * 34 9-18 1-3 4-4 7 6 0 0 23 - -
Clint Capela * 29 5-9 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 2 10 - -
Ben McLemore 26 6-7 6-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 18 - -
Austin Rivers 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Gary Clark 14 3-6 2-5 1-1 3 1 0 1 9 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Clemons 3 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 32 9-15 2-5 1-1 6 4 0 0 21 - -
Khem Birch * 31 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 4 - -
Jonathan Isaac * 26 4-7 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 10 - -
Evan Fournier * 24 10-18 6-11 1-2 2 2 2 0 27 - -
Markelle Fultz * 20 2-8 1-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 5 - -
Terrence Ross 27 4-10 2-7 3-3 1 2 1 2 13 - -
D.J. Augustin 26 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 5 0 0 3 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 21 3-9 1-3 3-4 5 2 0 1 10 - -
Mo Bamba 15 3-6 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Amile Jefferson 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Wes Iwundu 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Melvin Frazier Jr. 4 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter