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Portland Trail Blazers 99
@
Denver Nuggets 114
2019-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% - ✓
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 ✓ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - ✓
Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - ✓

Actual: Denver Nuggets +15 (114-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 5-16 2-9 1-2 2 11 1 0 13 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 36 8-16 2-5 2-2 9 1 2 2 20 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 6-11 3-7 0-1 2 2 0 0 15 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 35 15-21 1-1 2-2 11 2 0 4 33 - -
Kent Bazemore * 30 3-7 1-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Skal Labissiere 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 - -
Anfernee Simons 22 4-9 0-3 1-2 0 1 1 1 9 - -
Mario Hezonja 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Harris * 36 5-9 3-6 2-2 1 2 0 0 15 - -
Will Barton * 34 6-12 2-4 1-2 11 4 1 0 15 - -
Nikola Jokic * 31 7-14 2-5 4-6 11 6 0 0 20 - -
Jamal Murray * 28 4-11 2-5 2-3 6 3 1 0 12 - -
Paul Millsap * 15 3-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Jerami Grant 31 7-12 5-6 1-4 5 0 2 0 20 - -
Monte Morris 19 4-8 1-3 2-2 1 7 2 0 11 - -
Mason Plumlee 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 4 - -
Torrey Craig 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Michael Porter Jr. 9 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter