Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | -3.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (111-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 14-24 | 6-13 | 7-12 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 8-18 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 33 | 11-15 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 34 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 29 | 3-16 | 1-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 28 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 25 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 16 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter