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2019-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% -
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% -
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -8 (109-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Love * 38 11-24 4-9 4-5 17 2 0 0 30 - -
Cedi Osman * 37 6-12 3-8 0-0 2 1 1 1 15 - -
Collin Sexton * 35 10-19 1-5 7-8 2 2 1 0 28 - -
Tristan Thompson * 26 1-5 0-0 0-2 7 2 0 1 2 - -
Darius Garland * 25 3-8 2-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 8 - -
Jordan Clarkson 30 10-18 4-11 1-1 4 3 1 0 25 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 28 0-2 0-2 0-0 11 1 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 15 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 - -
John Henson 12 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 1 2 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 39 6-16 0-2 6-8 10 3 0 1 18 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 39 8-17 0-0 5-8 4 4 2 0 21 - -
Derrick White * 31 7-9 0-0 3-3 4 2 1 0 17 - -
Rudy Gay * 21 4-9 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 1 9 - -
Bryn Forbes * 16 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Patty Mills 28 3-7 2-4 2-2 1 2 0 1 10 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 24 4-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 10 - -
Jakob Poeltl 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 2 4 - -
Marco Belinelli 20 4-5 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Dejounte Murray 16 2-6 0-0 2-2 6 4 3 1 6 - -
Trey Lyles 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter