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2019-12-12

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% -
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -2 (122-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 46 8-16 3-5 3-4 10 3 1 1 22 21 -
Julius Randle * 38 7-16 3-4 7-10 13 5 0 0 24 26 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 36 10-18 5-9 11-12 10 3 3 0 36 34 -
Taj Gibson * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 5 -
Frank Ntilikina * 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Elfrid Payton 29 7-14 0-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 14 10 -
Mitchell Robinson 29 4-7 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 3 9 15 -
Bobby Portis 24 5-8 1-3 4-5 3 2 0 0 15 12 -
Kevin Knox II 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 4 -
Damyean Dotson 16 0-3 0-2 0-1 2 3 0 0 0 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 39 5-11 1-5 3-4 10 12 4 0 14 29 -
Glenn Robinson III * 35 6-14 2-6 3-4 4 2 1 0 17 10 -
D'Angelo Russell * 35 12-27 6-14 2-3 3 6 2 0 32 16 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 22 3-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 3 7 8 -
Eric Paschall * 16 2-6 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 5 1 -
Alec Burks 33 6-14 1-4 5-5 5 2 2 0 18 13 -
Marquese Chriss 24 4-8 0-1 4-6 10 2 1 3 12 20 -
Ky Bowman 15 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Damion Lee 15 3-7 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 0 -
Omari Spellman 15 1-4 0-2 1-1 6 2 0 0 3 7 -
Kevon Looney 5 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Jacob Evans 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter