Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +1 (94-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader * | 32 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 31 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 37 | 9-24 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 22 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 29 | 7-12 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 23 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter