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2019-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Log Adjusted 46.5% 53.5% -
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -7 (108-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 33 4-9 0-1 5-5 4 6 1 0 13 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 10-18 3-7 1-2 6 4 0 1 24 - -
Jae Crowder * 31 4-11 2-4 3-5 7 5 2 0 13 - -
Dillon Brooks * 27 10-19 1-5 6-6 3 1 2 0 27 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 3-9 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 5-6 2-2 3-5 7 0 0 2 15 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 3-4 1-1 2-2 6 3 0 1 9 - -
Solomon Hill 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 - -
Tyus Jones 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Kyle Anderson 12 1-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 0 3 - -
Marko Guduric 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 39 6-17 0-3 3-4 5 10 1 0 15 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 37 5-13 1-4 3-3 13 0 1 4 14 - -
Ricky Rubio * 37 7-15 1-6 7-7 1 8 1 0 22 - -
Dario Saric * 26 3-10 1-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 7 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 25 9-12 4-4 2-3 5 3 1 0 24 - -
Cameron Johnson 24 3-8 2-5 3-4 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Mikal Bridges 20 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Aron Baynes 18 3-10 0-4 6-7 5 1 0 0 12 - -
Ty Jerome 10 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter