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2019-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (32.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Log Adjusted 32.1% 67.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +34 (136-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 31 4-14 1-6 6-7 2 13 2 0 15 - -
Kevin Huerter * 24 3-9 1-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 9 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 23 2-9 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 6 - -
Jabari Parker * 21 5-10 1-2 0-0 7 0 1 1 11 - -
Damian Jones * 13 5-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 10 - -
Cam Reddish 29 4-11 3-9 5-8 5 1 0 1 16 - -
Allen Crabbe 21 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Alex Len 19 7-9 1-1 2-4 5 3 0 0 17 - -
Bruno Fernando 13 1-3 0-0 3-3 4 2 1 0 5 - -
Vince Carter 12 1-5 1-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Evan Turner 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Chandler Parsons 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 25 12-16 7-7 4-4 2 4 1 1 35 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 23 8-9 2-3 4-5 4 2 0 1 22 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 23 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 7 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 22 5-8 0-0 1-1 10 1 0 0 11 - -
Kris Dunn * 22 4-9 0-3 1-1 3 2 3 1 9 - -
Thaddeus Young 32 7-16 1-3 0-0 9 6 3 0 15 - -
Coby White 25 7-13 0-2 5-6 2 3 1 1 19 - -
Denzel Valentine 22 4-8 0-3 2-2 3 5 4 2 10 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Daniel Gafford 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 4 - -
Shaquille Harrison 7 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 - -
Luke Kornet 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter