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2019-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 80.7% 19.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 70.8% 29.2% -4.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% -
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (122-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 4-13 2-8 6-6 6 3 2 0 16 - -
Kemba Walker * 35 16-28 7-15 5-7 3 7 2 0 44 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 7-12 2-5 2-3 8 8 1 0 18 - -
Daniel Theis * 26 5-9 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Gordon Hayward * 24 4-8 0-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 9 - -
Brad Wanamaker 24 4-9 1-1 3-4 6 1 1 1 12 - -
Semi Ojeleye 23 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Enes Kanter 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 4 - -
Carsen Edwards 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Grant Williams 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 34 5-11 0-0 5-6 14 8 2 0 15 - -
T.J. Warren * 29 5-9 2-4 2-4 1 2 1 0 14 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 29 6-10 2-3 15-15 2 8 2 0 29 - -
Myles Turner * 24 4-10 1-5 2-2 4 1 0 2 11 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 22 2-8 0-2 2-2 0 2 0 1 6 - -
Justin Holiday 32 7-14 3-6 0-0 6 0 3 0 17 - -
Aaron Holiday 26 8-9 2-3 0-1 3 1 1 0 18 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 5 2 1 4 - -
Doug McDermott 18 3-11 0-2 2-4 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter