Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 (110-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 41 | 20-34 | 10-18 | 5-5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 55 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 37 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 32 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 22 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 28 | 9-15 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 28 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| John Henson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter