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2019-12-11

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 (29.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% -
Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% -
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% -
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +28 (115-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 25 6-11 1-4 2-3 7 3 1 0 15 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 24 4-11 1-6 1-1 3 0 0 0 10 - -
RJ Barrett * 18 1-9 0-2 3-4 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Taj Gibson * 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 - -
Mitchell Robinson 27 5-8 0-0 4-7 5 0 0 1 14 - -
Damyean Dotson 23 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Kevin Knox II 20 1-7 0-4 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 - -
Bobby Portis 19 4-9 0-3 3-4 10 0 1 1 11 - -
Allonzo Trier 14 4-9 2-5 3-5 0 2 0 0 13 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 13 2-7 1-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Elfrid Payton 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 31 5-14 1-8 2-2 4 3 0 1 13 - -
Damian Lillard * 28 9-15 8-12 5-5 2 6 0 0 31 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 25 7-11 0-0 3-3 15 2 0 5 17 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 24 5-13 3-4 3-6 4 0 2 1 16 - -
Kent Bazemore * 21 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Anfernee Simons 28 5-9 4-7 2-2 5 3 0 0 16 - -
Mario Hezonja 23 2-3 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 0 5 - -
Skal Labissiere 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 11 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 4 1 0 6 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 10 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Anthony Tolliver 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Jaylen Hoard 5 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter