Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (135-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 41 | 7-19 | 3-11 | 4-5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 40 | 11-17 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 26 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 23 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Allen Crabbe | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 43 | 13-18 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 43 | 12-16 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 42 | 14-26 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 41 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 34 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 22 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daryl Macon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter