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2019-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 59.7% 40.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% -
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% -
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +5 (97-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 39 10-19 2-7 4-5 7 7 2 2 26 - -
Nikola Jokic * 33 7-13 1-4 0-0 7 11 0 1 15 - -
Gary Harris * 33 5-12 1-5 3-3 2 5 2 0 14 - -
Paul Millsap * 28 4-8 0-2 2-2 6 0 3 1 10 - -
Jamal Murray * 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Monte Morris 31 3-9 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 2 7 - -
Jerami Grant 19 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 3 2 2 3 - -
Mason Plumlee 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 - -
Michael Porter Jr. 13 2-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Malik Beasley 11 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Torrey Craig 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 37 3-6 0-1 1-4 9 7 1 0 7 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 7-17 2-4 4-5 7 4 1 2 20 - -
Joel Embiid * 31 8-18 0-3 6-7 10 6 2 1 22 - -
Al Horford * 30 5-16 1-8 0-0 9 2 2 0 11 - -
Josh Richardson * 19 1-8 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Matisse Thybulle 26 5-8 3-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 13 - -
James Ennis III 17 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Mike Scott 14 3-7 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Raul Neto 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter