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2019-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.1% 40.9% -
Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% -
Log Adjusted 66.5% 33.5% -
Points Off/Def 56.7% 43.3% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -8 (102-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 30 1-6 0-4 0-0 9 1 2 0 2 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 6-12 3-7 2-2 3 2 2 0 17 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 6-14 2-9 2-3 3 2 1 3 16 - -
Ja Morant * 29 8-14 3-5 7-8 2 7 1 0 26 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 5-7 2-2 1-3 10 4 0 0 13 - -
Solomon Hill 30 1-7 1-5 0-0 4 3 3 1 3 - -
De'Anthony Melton 17 3-6 0-1 1-1 4 3 2 0 7 - -
Tyus Jones 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 7 1 1 5 - -
Grayson Allen 11 6-8 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 15 - -
Marko Guduric 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Bruno Caboclo 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 34 6-22 4-10 2-4 3 7 1 0 18 - -
Draymond Green * 33 6-13 1-3 3-4 3 5 1 3 16 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 31 2-7 0-2 0-0 8 0 3 0 4 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 24 6-9 0-0 5-6 8 2 1 2 17 - -
Eric Paschall * 21 2-10 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 1 5 - -
Alec Burks 30 4-9 2-4 8-8 7 6 3 0 18 - -
Ky Bowman 16 3-7 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Omari Spellman 14 3-4 2-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Marquese Chriss 12 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Jacob Evans 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Kevon Looney 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter