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2019-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 81.9% 18.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - ✗
Margin 45.5% 54.5% +1.0 ✗ (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - ✗
Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 45.8% 54.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% - ✗

Actual: Utah Jazz -14 (90-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 33 7-20 2-5 4-6 6 3 2 0 20 - -
Chris Paul * 30 7-15 0-4 2-2 4 7 3 0 16 - -
Steven Adams * 28 4-4 0-0 3-4 13 4 0 4 11 - -
Abdel Nader * 28 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 1 10 - -
Darius Bazley * 25 0-2 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 1 2 - -
Dennis Schroder 31 11-21 3-8 2-2 3 2 0 0 27 - -
Luguentz Dort 29 3-6 0-3 3-3 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Nerlens Noel 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 1 4 - -
Mike Muscala 15 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Devon Hall 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 35 10-25 1-8 5-5 6 3 0 0 26 - -
Joe Ingles * 34 3-7 3-6 0-0 4 8 3 0 9 - -
Rudy Gobert * 33 9-10 0-0 1-2 17 1 0 0 19 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 31 4-17 3-7 2-3 5 0 1 0 13 - -
Royce O'Neale * 26 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 - -
Georges Niang 19 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Emmanuel Mudiay 17 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Jeff Green 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Ed Davis 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Dante Exum 7 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Juwan Morgan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nigel Williams-Goss 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 2 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter