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2019-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% -
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +16 (125-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 37 8-18 1-5 6-7 4 4 0 2 23 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 34 12-18 2-4 7-9 15 2 0 2 33 - -
Josh Okogie * 28 3-8 0-1 2-2 2 0 2 0 8 - -
Robert Covington * 26 1-5 0-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Jarrett Culver * 14 2-4 0-1 2-3 6 1 0 1 6 - -
Jeff Teague 27 6-14 1-2 3-4 3 4 2 0 16 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Shabazz Napier 16 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 - -
Treveon Graham 11 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jordan Bell 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Noah Vonleh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Naz Reid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 36 11-20 3-7 1-2 4 7 0 1 26 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 33 8-15 2-6 6-6 4 0 0 1 24 - -
Ricky Rubio * 33 6-16 2-2 2-2 4 14 0 0 16 - -
Dario Saric * 32 7-11 2-6 4-5 9 1 1 0 20 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 9 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Mikal Bridges 32 3-7 1-2 2-2 8 4 3 2 9 - -
Cameron Johnson 26 4-8 2-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Aron Baynes 15 5-10 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 1 12 - -
Ty Jerome 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Cheick Diallo 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Elie Okobo 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter