Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -2 (103-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 28 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 20 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 18 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 11-21 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 10-21 | 0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 21 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 30 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter