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2019-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% -
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.8% 26.2% -
Log Adjusted 73.8% 26.2% -
Points Off/Def 63.3% 36.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -1 (92-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 38 3-15 1-8 4-5 7 7 0 1 11 - -
Pascal Siakam * 38 7-18 2-6 6-8 6 1 1 1 22 - -
OG Anunoby * 36 4-9 0-2 2-3 5 2 2 2 10 - -
Marc Gasol * 29 4-7 1-2 0-0 9 5 2 4 9 - -
Norman Powell * 28 7-16 1-6 2-4 4 3 2 0 17 - -
Serge Ibaka 18 3-11 1-1 4-4 14 1 0 0 11 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 16 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Terence Davis 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Malcolm Miller 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tomas Satoransky * 37 4-8 2-6 0-0 3 11 2 0 10 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 6-18 3-10 5-7 11 6 1 1 20 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 32 5-14 2-6 1-2 7 0 1 0 13 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 24 5-8 0-0 4-5 7 3 0 0 14 - -
Kris Dunn * 15 1-8 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Coby White 29 0-7 0-5 0-0 8 5 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 22 5-11 3-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford 19 7-9 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 3 14 - -
Thaddeus Young 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Shaquille Harrison 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter