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2019-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% -
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% -
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% -
Points Off/Def 16.8% 83.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +22 (110-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 35 8-11 0-0 1-7 11 1 1 0 17 - -
Collin Sexton * 29 4-14 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Kevin Love * 26 3-12 1-7 0-0 10 1 0 0 7 - -
Cedi Osman * 24 1-5 1-4 1-2 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Darius Garland * 24 4-11 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Jordan Clarkson 25 7-14 3-8 2-2 3 3 1 0 19 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 23 4-8 0-1 1-3 2 2 3 1 9 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 1-3 1-2 3-4 7 1 0 0 6 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 - -
John Henson 8 4-6 0-1 1-1 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Ante Zizic 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 32 9-15 1-5 1-1 7 2 0 2 20 - -
Jayson Tatum * 29 7-14 4-6 1-2 11 2 2 2 19 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 8-13 5-9 1-1 2 7 0 1 22 - -
Gordon Hayward * 26 7-10 0-2 0-0 5 4 1 0 14 - -
Daniel Theis * 21 4-4 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 3 10 - -
Semi Ojeleye 23 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 4 0 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 22 1-6 0-0 1-2 0 3 0 0 3 - -
Enes Kanter 17 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Grant Williams 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Carsen Edwards 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Vincent Poirier 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 - -
Javonte Green 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter