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2019-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 66.9% 33.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% -
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% -
Log Adjusted 15.6% 84.4% -
Points Off/Def 21.8% 78.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +17 (142-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 35 7-16 1-7 4-5 4 8 1 0 19 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 29 8-15 1-5 2-3 2 3 0 0 19 - -
Robert Covington * 27 4-8 3-4 5-5 3 0 3 1 16 - -
Josh Okogie * 24 4-8 3-5 7-7 4 1 0 0 18 - -
Jarrett Culver * 23 5-6 1-1 1-2 2 4 0 0 12 - -
Jeff Teague 24 5-10 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Bell 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 17 4-5 2-3 1-2 2 3 0 2 11 - -
Shabazz Napier 15 5-9 1-4 2-2 2 6 1 0 13 - -
Gorgui Dieng 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 - -
Treveon Graham 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Noah Vonleh 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Naz Reid 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 39 20-29 0-2 10-10 7 6 4 1 50 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 3-7 1-4 2-2 2 5 0 0 9 - -
LeBron James * 27 12-20 6-8 2-2 4 13 1 0 32 - -
Danny Green * 26 4-6 4-6 0-0 8 1 2 0 12 - -
JaVale McGee * 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 30 6-11 2-3 2-4 4 4 2 0 16 - -
Kyle Kuzma 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Dwight Howard 22 3-5 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Quinn Cook 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Troy Daniels 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Dudley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter