Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -12 (96-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 9-12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 34 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 15 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Devon Hall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 8-24 | 2-12 | 8-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 37 | 8-21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore * | 36 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 4-18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Skal Labissiere | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 12 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Hoard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter