Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -4 (106-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 34 | 10-15 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 33 | 13-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 25 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 20 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 10-13 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 10-24 | 3-12 | 4-5 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 14 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter