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2019-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% -
Log Adjusted 56.0% 44.0% -
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +6 (110-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 37 7-14 4-8 8-9 6 5 2 0 26 - -
Pascal Siakam * 36 7-18 0-4 2-3 7 2 1 0 16 - -
OG Anunoby * 35 8-14 2-4 1-1 10 2 4 1 19 - -
Marc Gasol * 30 0-6 0-4 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 - -
Fred VanVleet * 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Serge Ibaka 27 5-15 2-5 0-1 7 3 0 0 12 - -
Norman Powell 22 3-8 1-4 1-1 2 0 3 1 8 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 16 4-6 1-2 3-3 1 1 1 1 12 - -
Terence Davis 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 39 8-11 0-0 0-0 11 9 0 0 16 - -
Tobias Harris * 38 10-22 4-8 2-2 6 3 0 1 26 - -
Al Horford * 31 5-9 0-2 1-2 4 5 1 2 11 - -
Joel Embiid * 30 3-7 0-1 4-6 8 6 1 1 10 - -
Furkan Korkmaz * 26 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Matisse Thybulle 31 6-9 5-8 3-3 2 3 3 1 20 - -
James Ennis III 22 3-8 1-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Raul Neto 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Mike Scott 9 2-4 2-4 2-4 2 1 1 0 8 - -

* = starter