Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (110-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 40 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 40 | 5-19 | 1-8 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 37 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Coby White | 31 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 22 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 14 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ryan Arcidiacono | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 44 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 17-21 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 42 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 40 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 21 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 40 | 10-22 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter