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2019-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 55.0% 45.0% -1.1 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% -
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -15 (107-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 35 9-20 4-13 8-8 7 9 0 0 30 - -
Cam Reddish * 29 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Jabari Parker * 26 7-12 2-3 3-4 7 1 1 2 19 - -
Kevin Huerter * 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 6 2 1 9 - -
Damian Jones * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 3 2 - -
De'Andre Hunter 27 3-9 1-6 3-3 3 5 1 0 10 - -
Allen Crabbe 22 4-8 3-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Vince Carter 20 7-11 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 1 17 - -
Alex Len 19 5-11 1-1 2-2 10 1 1 1 13 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Bruno Fernando 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 37 7-14 3-3 3-3 6 0 1 0 20 - -
Devonte' Graham * 34 4-17 2-8 2-4 6 8 2 0 12 - -
Terry Rozier * 34 3-13 2-7 0-0 5 4 1 0 8 - -
P.J. Washington * 32 3-6 2-4 12-13 8 3 1 2 20 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 14 4-8 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 22 3-8 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 7 - -
Cody Zeller 20 5-7 0-1 1-1 6 2 2 0 11 - -
Malik Monk 16 3-7 1-4 2-3 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Dwayne Bacon 16 2-6 0-0 1-1 3 3 1 0 5 - -
Willy Hernangomez 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Caleb Martin 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Cody Martin 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter