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2019-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (44.0 off)
Pythagorean 30.7% 69.3% -
Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -
Points Off/Def 21.9% 78.1% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +47 (141-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 30 7-20 3-9 0-0 5 3 0 0 17 - -
Collin Sexton * 24 3-13 0-1 4-5 0 2 1 0 10 - -
Tristan Thompson * 22 5-10 0-0 2-3 3 4 0 0 12 - -
Kevin Love * 20 2-7 1-4 1-1 7 1 0 0 6 - -
Cedi Osman * 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 27 2-5 1-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 7 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Brandon Knight 16 3-7 1-5 0-2 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Jordan Clarkson 15 3-7 1-3 3-3 3 1 0 0 10 - -
John Henson 13 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 12 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Ante Zizic 12 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 25 12-14 1-1 9-12 3 7 1 2 34 - -
Mike Scott * 24 9-12 3-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 21 - -
Tobias Harris * 22 6-10 1-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 15 - -
Al Horford * 20 3-4 2-3 0-0 5 3 3 1 8 - -
Furkan Korkmaz * 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 - -
Kyle O'Quinn 27 5-10 0-1 0-0 11 3 0 4 10 - -
Trey Burke 26 9-12 1-3 2-3 2 8 4 0 21 - -
Raul Neto 22 4-6 1-2 0-0 0 6 2 0 9 - -
James Ennis III 19 3-6 1-1 1-2 7 3 2 0 8 - -
Shake Milton 12 2-6 0-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Norvel Pelle 12 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 5 - -
Matisse Thybulle 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -

* = starter