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2019-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% -
Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% -
Log Adjusted 73.6% 26.4% -
Points Off/Def 62.5% 37.5% -

Actual: New York Knicks -1 (103-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 38 8-11 0-0 3-5 15 2 1 2 19 - -
T.J. Warren * 38 10-19 2-5 3-4 4 0 1 1 25 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 34 5-15 2-5 1-1 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Myles Turner * 31 3-8 1-4 0-0 6 1 2 5 7 - -
Aaron Holiday * 28 4-12 2-6 2-2 4 5 0 0 12 - -
Justin Holiday 21 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 11 1 0 6 - -
Doug McDermott 19 6-11 3-4 1-1 2 3 0 1 16 - -
Goga Bitadze 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 36 4-11 1-3 3-6 9 3 1 1 12 - -
Julius Randle * 35 6-18 0-1 4-6 12 3 1 0 16 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 33 9-17 4-8 3-3 3 1 1 0 25 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 - -
Taj Gibson * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 - -
Mitchell Robinson 25 6-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 3 14 - -
Bobby Portis 18 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 - -
Elfrid Payton 17 3-7 1-2 2-2 3 7 3 1 9 - -
Damyean Dotson 14 4-11 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Knox II 13 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 11 0-5 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 - -

* = starter