Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.5 | ✓ (39.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +46 (130-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 27 | 1-9 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 24 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 21 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Josh Hart | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 26 | 8-15 | 2-8 | 8-10 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 27 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 19 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 19 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 28 | - | |
| Seth Curry | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 18 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter