Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | β (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | β |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +1 (105-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richaun Holmes * | 44 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 42 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 39 | 10-27 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 19 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 28 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 23 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bogdan BogdanoviΔ | 21 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 5-14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 21 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 19 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 33 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 18 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter