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2019-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - ✗
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 ✗ (26.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - ✓
Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% - ✓

Actual: Utah Jazz -25 (96-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 29 9-21 1-6 1-1 4 12 1 0 20 - -
Anthony Davis * 26 9-11 0-0 8-9 6 1 1 3 26 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 24 5-8 2-4 2-2 1 0 0 1 14 - -
Danny Green * 20 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
JaVale McGee * 13 4-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 32 5-12 2-3 2-2 9 12 2 0 14 - -
Kyle Kuzma 30 4-11 3-5 2-7 1 0 4 3 13 - -
Alex Caruso 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Dwight Howard 19 3-3 1-1 0-4 9 1 0 3 7 - -
Troy Daniels 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Jared Dudley 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Quinn Cook 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanović * 35 6-15 6-10 5-5 3 3 1 0 23 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 33 11-24 3-7 4-5 4 5 0 0 29 - -
Rudy Gobert * 27 6-8 0-0 1-3 10 2 1 0 13 - -
Joe Ingles * 27 1-5 1-3 1-2 2 5 0 0 4 - -
Jeff Green * 23 3-7 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Royce O'Neale 22 0-4 0-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 - -
Georges Niang 19 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Ed Davis 13 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Danté Exum 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Emmanuel Mudiay 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Tony Bradley 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Nigel Williams-Goss 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Jarrell Brantley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter