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2019-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 55.9% 44.1% -1.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% -
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +7 (106-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 33 5-13 3-10 2-2 6 4 1 0 15 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 28 12-17 0-0 8-10 13 1 3 1 32 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 6-20 2-5 1-2 7 1 1 2 15 - -
Dillon Brooks * 24 2-11 0-4 1-1 3 1 2 1 5 - -
Tyus Jones * 22 2-7 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 6 - -
De'Anthony Melton 29 3-8 0-1 2-2 5 7 3 0 8 - -
Solomon Hill 28 1-8 0-4 0-0 2 5 3 0 2 - -
Grayson Allen 24 5-7 2-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Bruno Caboclo 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 - -
Marko Guduric 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Yuta Watanabe 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 33 7-13 2-5 9-11 6 3 1 1 25 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 33 3-10 0-2 7-9 6 8 3 0 13 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 5-8 0-1 6-8 13 0 0 4 16 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 5-9 4-8 1-2 5 1 0 2 15 - -
Kris Dunn * 24 4-7 2-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 10 - -
Coby White 22 1-8 1-3 0-1 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 18 3-10 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 1 9 - -
Daniel Gafford 15 1-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 4 4 - -
Denzel Valentine 15 3-7 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 - -

* = starter