Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -24 (103-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 27 | 12-21 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 25 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 15 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 32 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 30 | 4-17 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 27 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 37 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 25 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 14 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter