Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -9 (96-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - | |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 22 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Danny Green * | 30 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 25 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 19 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 37 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 29 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 13 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -5 | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Monte Morris | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter